Hidden-Purchase
0x0da237cdcfd833c13927080c0025c04d80c91f5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$59.69
Total PnL
$-574.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
20 shares @ 96.9¢·now 94.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.92
$-0.46
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$17.50
$-0.50
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.70
$-4.30
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$9.57
$0.37
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$18.13Jul 22, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$18.00Jul 16, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$40.00Jun 27, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$29.52Jun 22, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$56.00Jun 15, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$19.40Jun 15, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$27.79Jun 9, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$50.00Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $150 in May?$10.00Jun 1, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$10.00Jun 1, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $170 in May?$10.00Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$10.00Jun 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.00Jun 1, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$44.50May 31, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$10.00May 29, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$10.00May 29, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$10.00May 29, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$10.00May 29, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $18.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.