Grown-Billion

• NO

  Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

  2151 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $1.7K

  $-44.06

• NO

  Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

  330 shares @ 83.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $320.26

  $43.67

• NO

  Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

  389 shares @ 53.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027

  $307.20

  $101.22

• NO

  Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?

  400 shares @ 17.2¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026

  $305.99

  $237.00

• NO

  Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

  290 shares @ 75.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $258.10

  $40.60

• NO

  Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

  234 shares @ 68.7¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $189.53

  $28.69

• NO

  Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

  200 shares @ 62.9¢·now 86.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026

  $172.00

  $46.11

• NO

  Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

  278 shares @ 29.1¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $170.73

  $89.94

• NO

  Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

  188 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $153.06

  $2.80

• NO

  Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

  150 shares @ 64.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026

  $138.75

  $42.75

• REDEEMWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$50.00Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
• REWARD$1.26Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
• REWARD$1.10Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$2.55Jun 11, 17:58 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$34.86Jun 11, 17:46 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$3.54Jun 11, 17:28 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.01Jun 11, 13:10 UTC
• TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$20.04Jun 11, 12:39 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$59.00Jun 11, 11:22 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$6.91Jun 11, 11:05 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$162.85Jun 11, 10:25 UTC
• MERGEWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$130.99Jun 11, 09:44 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$22.34Jun 11, 08:37 UTC
• TRADESELLUK Recession in 2026?$1.12Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
• REWARD$5.93Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$10.00Jun 10, 21:13 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.75Jun 10, 21:04 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$7.86Jun 10, 20:33 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$0.12Jun 10, 17:48 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$7.70Jun 10, 17:39 UTC

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