Unrealistic-Tomography
0x1022fb7b4b363a5c522b6854560309aa69f7174a
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$32.09
Total PnL
$-68.51
Realised
$1.39
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will Dillon Dingler hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$4.90
$3.60
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.21
$-6.20
- U 86.5
Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$2.00
$0.70
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
70 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.36
$-6.33
- YES
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.20
$0.10
- YES
Will Pluralis launch a token by September 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$1.15
$0.05
- YES
Will the Miami Marlins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$1.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 1, 2026$0.95
$-0.25
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.90
$-0.20
- O 84.5
Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$0.85
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?$1.24Jul 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?$1.10Jul 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$1.14Jul 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?$1.20Jul 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.27Jul 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.30Jul 16, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic be on the cover of NBA 2K27?$1.20Jul 16, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Curry be on the cover of NBA 2K27?$1.30Jul 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?$1.26Jul 16, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?$1.20Jul 14, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Golden State Valkyries make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?$1.30Jul 14, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$1.24Jul 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$1.10Jul 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KAST launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.27Jul 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryce Harper hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$1.25Jul 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dillon Dingler hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$1.36Jul 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?$1.17Jul 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026?$1.27Jul 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Diego Padres win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$1.26Jul 1, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$0.48Jul 1, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.