Uneven-Deliberation
0x110d59e3f25ad8cfeaf58e632fcf2bc319cfa09b
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.27
Total PnL
$-757.91
Realised
$-8.09
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.27
$-1.77
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Pistons
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KIWOOM DRX
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
303 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Thunder
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?
168 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert$2.04Jul 10, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.37Jul 10, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$2.70Jul 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$4.34Jul 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$4.63Jul 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$6.14Jul 10, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?$0.26Jul 3, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?$8.10Jul 3, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?$55.40Jul 3, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?$0.00Jul 3, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Hurricanes (-1.5)$0.26Jul 3, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$0.32Jul 3, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$1.02Jul 3, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?$0.00Jul 3, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?$0.00Jul 3, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?$0.06Jul 3, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$0.17Jul 3, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$0.50Jul 3, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.74Jul 3, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.90Jul 3, 05:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 03:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.