Early-Waiver
0x1147b9250ada15b0516aad4971c37fa3881dda78
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$14.3K
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$889.57
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
11775 shares @ 12.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.8K
$10.3K
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2434 shares @ 12.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.4K
$2.1K
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$81.49
$64.49
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$17.50
$-18.50
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
40 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.06
$-29.94
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
99 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.05
$-39.95
- WIZARDS
Celtics vs. Wizards
8337 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- GRIZZLIES
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
5811 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- BUCKS
Timberwolves vs. Bucks
4910 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- 76ERS
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)
3450 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.82May 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.10May 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.77May 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00May 13, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$430.36May 13, 02:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.70May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$22.49May 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.52May 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.07May 12, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$14.44May 12, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$39.92May 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.14May 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$14.18May 12, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$702.86May 12, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.76May 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.76May 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$45.86May 12, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$136.44May 12, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.22May 12, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.12May 12, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $35.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".