Friendly-Mailbox
0x11c5d92ef489435a0a3f2c8deba647a57a0179d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$31.23
Realised
$-4.65
Win rate
50%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?
3770 shares @ 0.4¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$329.88
$314.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?
3020 shares @ 0.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$161.57
$146.27
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?
1230 shares @ 2.9¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$132.26
$97.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?
988 shares @ 1.5¢·now 10.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$102.73
$87.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
504 shares @ 3.0¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$57.40
$42.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?
1279 shares @ 0.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$50.54
$40.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?
681 shares @ 5.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$42.89
$2.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?
826 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$40.91
$-0.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
405 shares @ 7.4¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$39.45
$9.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?
1173 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$21.12
$15.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$21.04May 17, 11:55 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?$5.00May 17, 11:30 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$5.00May 17, 11:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?$5.00May 17, 11:17 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in May 2026?$5.00May 17, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$10.20May 17, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$10.01May 17, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$6.20May 17, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$5.08May 17, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5.49May 17, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5.03May 17, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$28.90May 17, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$20.76May 17, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$10.29May 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET$10.60May 17, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET$10.26May 17, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET$1.27May 17, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET$10.45May 17, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET$14.74May 17, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET$10.50May 17, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".