0x123431dfba9512a9073db4eaf176d2326a08c1bb
0x123431dfba9512a9073db4eaf176d2326a08c1bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-248.01
Realised
$1.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
410 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$410.24
$10.27
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
419 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$398.84
$-1.16
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
411 shares @ 97.3¢·now 87.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$361.62
$-38.42
- YES
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
365 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$346.17
$21.01
- NO
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
221 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$220.99
$20.89
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
206 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$200.84
$0.82
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
1773 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$81.57
$12.41
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
69 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$67.99
$2.03
- YES
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
4825 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.24
$-277.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$58.66May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$84.28May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$57.16May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$184.38May 16, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$15.65May 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$200.20May 16, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$199.98May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$200.22May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$66.07May 16, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$434.15May 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$114.05May 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$66.26May 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$53.40May 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$6.31May 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$26.70May 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$85.96May 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$200.34May 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$8.62May 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$33.54May 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$4.45May 13, 06:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $97.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 20:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".