Gullible-Dinghy-Drawer
0x123ad7cf546ebc359dd383218de1b6c5259e2424
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$313.47
Total PnL
$-80.61
Realised
$-7.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
66 shares @ 88.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$59.22
$0.55
- NO
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
87 shares @ 53.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.06
$11.29
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
29 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$25.13
$0.14
- DOWN
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
50 shares @ 42.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$25.00
$4.00
- NO
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
42 shares @ 58.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$24.79
$0.62
- NO
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
23 shares @ 96.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$21.56
$-0.82
- NO
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
22 shares @ 95.3¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$21.09
$-0.10
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$16.32
$1.47
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
72 shares @ 32.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.76
$-8.28
- YES
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.18
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?$18.96Jun 15, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?$21.49Jun 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?$39.31Jun 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$3.20Jun 15, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.60Jun 15, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$18.24Jun 15, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?$11.18Jun 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $142.49Jun 15, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $0.12Jun 15, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $1.65Jun 15, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $149.52Jun 15, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$21.19Jun 15, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$10.00Jun 15, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-9.5)$17.89Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMKarl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5$42.55Jun 14, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKarl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5$24.57Jun 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKarl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5$19.15Jun 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$7.57Jun 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$13.26Jun 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5$0.65Jun 13, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $23.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.