Usable-Exhaustion
0x13eaf7f727ec1e8c9cac6866a5e1aa8697274b7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$12.64
Total PnL
$-18.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
10 shares @ 63.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.27
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 27?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$1.62
$0.12
- NO
OKX IPO in 2026?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.57
$0.57
- NO
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 87.2¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 27?$1.51Jul 21, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$2.03Jul 21, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$3.04Jul 9, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jul 9, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.49Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.39Jun 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.41Jun 22, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$1.32Jun 22, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.04Jun 17, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$7.46Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$5.05Jun 16, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11?$2.08Jun 4, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02Jun 4, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 19, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 15, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.09Apr 15, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?$1.11Apr 15, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 4, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?$1.00Mar 26, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 15, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 02:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.