Every-Croissant-Credibility
0x145758979e1c569a6ab9e7866b34d3f15ca24207
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$51.23
Total PnL
$-40.66
Realised
$-1.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
59 shares @ 38.8¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$22.53
$-0.16
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20 shares @ 44.2¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.25
$-0.75
- NO
Evo Morales arrested by June 30?
10 shares @ 71.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.09
$0.09
- NO
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?
6 shares @ 82.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.91
$0.91
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
8 shares @ 37.5¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 84.4¢·now 84.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$1.00May 30, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?$1.00May 30, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by June 30?$1.01May 29, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.02May 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.02May 29, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$1.00May 29, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by June 30?$1.01May 29, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.02May 29, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by June 30?$1.01May 29, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?$3.26May 29, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Tigre win on 2026-05-28?$3.85May 29, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28?$3.90May 29, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-28?$7.52May 29, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by June 30?$1.01May 29, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.01May 29, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill América de Cali win on 2026-05-28?$1.02May 29, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?$1.02May 29, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by June 30?$1.01May 29, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$1.01May 28, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-28?$1.02May 28, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".