Giving-Stumbling
0x146cfe9630e29adaf18fbcc38bbc591beac5f5cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$260.77
Total PnL
$-578.79
Realised
$-20.97
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
610 shares @ 16.4¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$110.67
$10.67
- YES
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$94.35
$44.35
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
676 shares @ 7.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.74
$5.74
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
954 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.39
- YES
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
664 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
375 shares @ 68.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-257.29
- YES
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
371 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-49.94
- NO
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
194 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-90.98
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$51.02May 2, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?$51.03May 2, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.39May 2, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.51May 2, 00:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $110.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".