Ecstatic-Pavement
0x14d35102239e88ef1a181ba5b9687b5f3f168604
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$210.36
Total PnL
$-63.94
Realised
$0.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
112 shares @ 29.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$65.60
$33.08
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
154 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
69 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$24.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
112 shares @ 17.9¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
66 shares @ 22.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$14.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- FAZE CLAN
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs FaZe Clan (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$8.06
$-1.94
- YES
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 19.3¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$7.89
$-0.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs FaZe Clan (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs$10.11May 14, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$10.10May 14, 10:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?$21.28May 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$10.16May 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$2.61May 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLRainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$1.66May 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$10.10May 13, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$5.12May 13, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$10.10May 13, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$15.35May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?$10.16May 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$8.16May 13, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$20.00May 13, 03:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?$24.29May 12, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs G2 Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$24.49May 12, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs G2 Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$4.86May 12, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.62May 12, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".