Long-Eclipse
0x151c4b161c8b26acbf904957bfce4837b00d87b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-813.54
Realised
$-37.76
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
5000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.0K
$617.50
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
69 shares @ 25.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.62
$-15.63
- YES
Kash Patel out by April 30?
860 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-53.23
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
800 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-347.87
- YES
Kash Patel out by May 31?
800 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-163.40
- YES
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
555 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-405.15
- NO
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
300 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.20
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
283 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-67.38
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 27?
200 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-84.00
- NO
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
200 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$250.00Aug 5, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.5KAug 4, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$39.31Jul 20, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2.6KJul 20, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$870.00Jul 20, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$870.00Jul 20, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$220.92Jul 10, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1.1KJul 7, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.6KJul 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?$17.20Jun 25, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$504.00Jun 24, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$252.00Jun 24, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$165.99Jun 24, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$45.00Jun 24, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$36.00Jun 24, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$12.60Jun 24, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$106.60Jun 24, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$6.91Jun 24, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$85.75Jun 24, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$0.41Jun 24, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $247.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.