Long-Eclipse
0x151c4b161c8b26acbf904957bfce4837b00d87b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.9K
Total PnL
$457.82
Realised
$-21.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
3650 shares @ 59.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.6K
$1.5K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1500 shares @ 66.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$157.50
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
1100 shares @ 83.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$170.85
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
69 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$17.59
$0.34
- NO
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
300 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.20
$-16.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by April 30?
860 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-53.23
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
800 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-347.87
- YES
Kash Patel out by May 31?
800 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-163.40
- YES
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
555 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-405.15
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
283 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-67.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?$17.20Jun 25, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$504.00Jun 24, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$252.00Jun 24, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$165.99Jun 24, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$45.00Jun 24, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$36.00Jun 24, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$12.60Jun 24, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$106.60Jun 24, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$6.91Jun 24, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$85.75Jun 24, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$0.41Jun 24, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$54.60Jun 24, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$250.00Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 26, 2026?$100.00Jun 22, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$1.0KJun 22, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$34.93Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$34.93Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$17.46Jun 22, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$384.21Jun 22, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$104.78Jun 22, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $125.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 05:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.