Scared-Refuse
0x1538b16ccb0b8ea9636cabdbba275e75c5d20090
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
39
Open notional
$158.84
Total PnL
$5.37
Realised
$9.56
Win rate
80%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30 shares @ 40.3¢·now 39.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.69
$-0.39
- NO
Will Mark Johnston be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
10 shares @ 89.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 12, 2026$9.73
$0.77
- NO
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.95
$0.65
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?
10 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$8.80
$0.70
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?
10 shares @ 76.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$8.55
$0.95
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$8.35
$0.15
- NO
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.30
$1.40
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$7.50
$0.30
- YES
Will Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?
10 shares @ 68.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.45
$0.60
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?
10 shares @ 57.5¢·now 67.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$6.75
$1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?$2.505d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.905d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$0.005d ago
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$6.005d ago
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$6.4823d ago
- TRADESELLWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$3.6026d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?$8.0026d ago
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$3.9027d ago
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs$0.0029d ago
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs$0.0029d ago
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs$0.0029d ago
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs$0.0029d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.8030d ago
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.6030d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.5230d ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs$2.5032d ago
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.4033d ago
- TRADESELLWill Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$8.6033d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$6.4033d ago
- TRADESELLWill Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$9.6433d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 46d ago
- Last active
- 5d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.