Nifty-Elicit
0x154f06e52c631a0546a24e4a50855c40a92b9a12
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$525.07
Total PnL
$-647.22
Realised
$20.59
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
263 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$257.07
$7.25
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.50
$5.50
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
102 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$50.49
$1.53
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$41.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
49 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$41.02
$0.49
- NO
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
96 shares @ 39.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.12
$0.12
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$32.00
$12.50
- NO
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.37
$-0.22
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?
618 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 10?
310 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$1.00May 16, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$30.62May 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$11.38May 16, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$2.77May 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$18.81May 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$11.62May 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$8.30May 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI data center in space by December 31, 2027?$9.73May 15, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$17.64May 15, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$3.20May 15, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$0.64May 15, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$0.64May 15, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$1.28May 15, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$14.95May 15, 16:23 UTC
- REWARD$1.05May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$3.90May 14, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$13.65May 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$1.95May 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$7.46May 14, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$42.53May 14, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".