Angry-Evaluation
0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$695.0K
Total PnL
$-154.0K
Realised
$-42.2K
Win rate
52%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
90721 shares @ 93.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$86.2K
$1.4K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
63499 shares @ 81.1¢·now 79.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$50.4K
$-1.1K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
60000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.1K
$-5.1K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
35310 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.2K
$541.76
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
35760 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$34.5K
$4.4K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
40000 shares @ 81.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$34.2K
$1.5K
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
42996 shares @ 66.6¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$30.3K
$1.7K
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
28324 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.3¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$27.3K
$143.60
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
31000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.8K
$1.4K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
32442 shares @ 71.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.8K
$602.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$14.27Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$54.72Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$63.44Jul 28, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$936.53Jul 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$63.44Jul 28, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$48.34Jul 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$160.19Jul 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?$5.00Jul 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.82Jul 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$63.44Jul 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.02Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$63.44Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?$0.35Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$198.25Jul 28, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$65.82Jul 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$6.34Jul 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$100.34Jul 28, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.0KJul 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$66.61Jul 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?$0.71Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$94.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
22%
Window
May 24, 05:40 UTC → Jun 19, 23:06 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$14.9K@99¢Jun 19, 23:06 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 8 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
22%
Sample
limited
8 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
$43.0K · 45% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $763.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.