Overjoyed-Trolley
0x16859358d31447c0db8fe70cb1ad4bdbd2105703
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$10.08
Total PnL
$-16.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.39
$-0.61
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Kings$1.00Mar 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. 76ers$1.00Mar 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Heat$1.00Mar 13, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)$1.32Mar 13, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?$2.13Mar 13, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Raptors (-4.5)$1.00Mar 13, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-12.5)$1.00Mar 13, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.00Jan 13, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Jan 13, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$1.00Jan 13, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$1.00Jan 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$1.00Jan 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)$1.00Jan 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Jan 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Jan 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.00Jan 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$1.00Jan 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jan 13, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.64Jan 13, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 10:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".