Crafty-Cloakroom
0x16c837519a03dae2061954cbf5fd328cfe6dcb07
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$177.16
Realised
$17.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
702 shares @ 85.4¢·now 92.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$648.36
$49.14
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
600 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$594.00
$17.69
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
300 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$297.45
$10.25
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
305 shares @ 83.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$276.02
$20.88
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
300 shares @ 74.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$271.50
$48.50
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
280 shares @ 90.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$264.60
$11.90
- NO
Will Trump nationalize elections?
236 shares @ 83.6¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$180.42
$-16.80
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
133 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.44
$-1.33
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 90.4¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.10
$5.70
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.60
$4.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$113.73Jun 12, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$200.00Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$108.92Jun 11, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$99.23Jun 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$198.64Jun 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$89.00Jun 11, 15:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 10, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$15.00Jun 10, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$69.01Jun 10, 03:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.63Jun 9, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$97.70Jun 9, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$15.00Jun 9, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.69Jun 9, 11:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?$40.41Jun 7, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $42.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.