Brisk-Proposition
0x16f6f9719e286a220c135b2903d293e65703fc9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-63.83
Win rate
16%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3045 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-74.34
- YES
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?
2388 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-394.15
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
1611 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.00
$-335.01
- YES
Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?
990 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-70.62
- NO
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
964 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-311.38
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?
959 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-698.98
- YES
Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?
946 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.21
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
640 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-13.24
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
359 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-63.79
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
342 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-60.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$15.01Jun 17, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill no one dissent the June Fed decision?$657.78Jun 17, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill one person dissent the June Fed decision?$112.23Jun 17, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$280.02Jun 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$231.99Jun 10, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.9% in May?$20.01Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.8% in May?$20.00Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.1% in May?$95.99Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$231.99Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.7% in May?$20.00Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.0% in May?$48.00Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?$6.00Jun 5, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?$6.00Jun 5, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the May 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?$5.99Jun 5, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$6.00Jun 5, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.5KMay 20, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$67.65May 20, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.0KMay 20, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.1KMay 19, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$1.28May 19, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
16% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.