Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+2.8pp
24h Vol
$984.76
Liquidity
$5.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 84.7h
- 11:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 85h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 6¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 6¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 5¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 6¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 6¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Federal Open Market CommitteeOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).