Useless-Love
0x17467385c3d5328ae46b01dd8fd8ae2973dd515f
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$115.35
Total PnL
$-440.34
Realised
$29.80
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
200 shares @ 27.5¢·now 23.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$47.70
$-7.30
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
150 shares @ 34.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.75
$-20.25
- YES
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
49 shares @ 24.7¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.98
$3.81
- NO
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
12 shares @ 70.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.67
$2.32
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$6.40
$-5.60
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
200 shares @ 4.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$-6.40
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
300 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-8.85
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
600 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-73.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
394 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$96.39Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.40Jul 19, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00Jul 19, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$61.13Jul 19, 20:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$32.26Jul 18, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 3.5$44.44Jul 18, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?$7.60Jul 18, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$20.38Jul 18, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$20.44Jul 18, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 3.5$20.55Jul 18, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance to score first vs. England?$20.37Jul 18, 20:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $19.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.