Common-Morbidity
0x177d0f1752a9983dae8371b961d10fe8c5d80867
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
5143 shares @ 12.2¢·now 25.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.3K
$700.10
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
972 shares @ 25.7¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.72
$36.72
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
2275 shares @ 8.8¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$211.54
$11.54
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$150.00
$100.00
- YES
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
273 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$45.06
$4.10
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
794 shares @ 10.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$40.42
$-40.58
- YES
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
303 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.69
$-1.84
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
32945 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?
10183 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24?
5884 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$6.53Jul 23, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$557.17Jul 22, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?$42.35Jul 20, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$105.66Jul 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$31.60Jul 19, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$100.00Jul 19, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00Jul 19, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$155.62Jul 19, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$160.55Jul 19, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$81.00Jul 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00Jul 17, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$100.00Jul 17, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?$10.50Jul 17, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?$1.05Jul 17, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$103.85Jul 16, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$103.85Jul 16, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00Jul 16, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$103.85Jul 15, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$50.00Jul 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$100.00Jul 14, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $66.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.