Content-Mine
0x1787d7f51cb4df9272345e2b353bb0d5db7d58c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$50.95
Total PnL
$-0.60
Realised
$24.86
Win rate
35%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- NO
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
5 shares @ 76.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.88
$1.05
- NO
Will Crusaders win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.36
$1.31
- NO
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
4 shares @ 39.8¢·now 82.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$2.93
$1.52
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.85
$0.85
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.70
$1.43
- YES
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?
3 shares @ 1.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.46
$2.40
- YES
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?
2 shares @ 9.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Sep 25, 2026$2.22
$2.01
- NO
Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball St Petersburg Event?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.74
$0.45
- YES
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?
16 shares @ 1.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.73
$1.51
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
2 shares @ 52.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.72
$0.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?$0.80Jul 29, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.16Jul 29, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$5.26Jul 29, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$2.32Jul 29, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?$2.44Jul 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?$2.12Jul 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$0.01Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$0.02Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?$0.07Jul 28, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?$0.14Jul 28, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.24Jul 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?$4.76Jul 28, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?$5.00Jul 28, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avaí win Brazil Série B?$0.03Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?$0.06Jul 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?$0.07Jul 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?$0.39Jul 28, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.00Jul 28, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.01Jul 28, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next?$0.03Jul 28, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
69 closed markets, 35% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.