Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next?
Probability
49¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+16.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$71.99
Probability (last 7 days)
+10.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 16pp over 24h
Now 49¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 7415h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 67.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 7415.3h
- 00:40SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 7415h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+16.4pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.
Biggest hourly move: -29.4pp at 3d ago (to 24¢).
Show top 8 of 59 hourly moves
- 00:00 · +20.3pp → 49¢
- 13:00 · -18.1pp → 30¢
- 12:00 · -17.8pp → 30¢
- 10:00 · -17.8pp → 30¢
- 09:00 · -17.5pp → 30¢
- 08:00 · -16.9pp → 31¢
- 2d ago · -25.6pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · -29.4pp → 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC boutTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (67.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.