Complicated-Chive
0x182ab80bf1e31441dec5a44d22a4e892c95c3a1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$38.40
Total PnL
$-45.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
21 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$20.92
$0.92
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
21 shares @ 93.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.48
$-2.52
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 15%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
800 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
34 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.04May 1, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 15%?$1.04May 1, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?$2.08May 1, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?$20.05May 1, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$20.55May 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$20.94May 1, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?$1.00Apr 25, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$20.00Apr 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$20.00Apr 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$20.00Nov 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Nov 9, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$84.73Nov 9, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$49.99Nov 9, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $17.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.