Sparkling-Standardisation
0x184ff4864b1c522bda9709f47240e28019b8a48f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$728.58
Total PnL
$-283.54
Realised
$-3.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
798 shares @ 82.2¢·now 46.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$372.27
$-283.69
- AFGHANISTAN
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
583 shares @ 21.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$300.25
$177.81
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
307 shares @ 74.1¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.19
$-175.30
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$3.88
$0.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$0.00Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 22?$0.00Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Syria next?$0.00Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum ETF Flows on March 11?$0.00Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?$0.00Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emma Stone (Bugonia) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5$0.00Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$1.8KJun 17, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$951.86Apr 27, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$51.59Apr 27, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$53.90Apr 24, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$176.54Apr 24, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$775.32Apr 24, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$121.68Apr 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$250.56Apr 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$34.04Apr 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$126.73Apr 13, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $286.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 21:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.