0x18a57a352acb47bd807ab04179c0decde88ea71b
0x18a57a352acb47bd807ab04179c0decde88ea71b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$43.65
Total PnL
$-21.63
Realised
$-11.69
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
20 shares @ 35.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$20.00
$12.85
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
15 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$15.00
$0.17
- YES
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.00
$1.14
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.32
$0.41
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.23
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
2 shares @ 24.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.22
$-0.19
- NO
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
30 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.10
- NO
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-11?
15 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$1.70Apr 11, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.89Apr 11, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-11?$0.00Apr 11, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?$0.00Apr 11, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?$0.00Apr 11, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?$0.00Apr 11, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.25Apr 10, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.03Apr 8, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$4.86Apr 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.79Apr 8, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.56Apr 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.25Apr 7, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.58Apr 2, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.26Apr 1, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.26Mar 31, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.58Mar 31, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$4.18Mar 29, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.10Mar 29, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.38Mar 26, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.28Mar 26, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.