Trained-Integer
0x18b3e604679b34335877ffb836665663f46c4a57
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
153
Open notional
$18.59
Total PnL
$-648.78
Realised
$-0.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
10 shares @ 55.8¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.94
$0.59
- YES
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.89
$-2.00
- RUNE EATERS
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
7 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$3.69
$-0.22
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
53 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.78
$-4.07
- YES
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$0.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 62.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.70
$0.06
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
25 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.03
$-0.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$5.00Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.65Jun 10, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner$3.05Jun 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$2.58Jun 10, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00Jun 10, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.85Jun 10, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.59Jun 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$3.53Jun 10, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.59Jun 10, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs$1.02Jun 10, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs$3.26Jun 10, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$4.44Jun 10, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$3.00Jun 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$3.55Jun 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$6.70Jun 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.87Jun 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$5.70Jun 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$4.57Jun 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?$1.83Jun 10, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.75Jun 10, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.