0x18ead2828c3ad9544578d34b836667c9ea5cce68
0x18ead2828c3ad9544578d34b836667c9ea5cce68
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$24.96
Total PnL
$-29.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.14
$-0.13
- NO
Will Canada’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 6.4%?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$4.13
$0.00
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 92.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.96
$-0.31
- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.85
$-0.42
- NO
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 89.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.81
$-0.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$1.93
$0.95
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 41.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.77
$-2.50
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$4.06Apr 2, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$4.18Apr 2, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.00Mar 19, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.00Mar 19, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Mar 19, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.00Mar 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 13, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 13, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 6.4%?$4.13Mar 12, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?$4.21Mar 11, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?$4.15Mar 10, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$4.29Mar 10, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $640 on March 9?$3.54Mar 9, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $640 on March 9?$3.54Mar 9, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$4.16Mar 8, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs$4.13Mar 8, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs$4.13Mar 7, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by March 2?$4.16Mar 6, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 4, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$0.00Mar 4, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.