Nervous-Hardboard
0x194d6d049004b78f3d426a3c7df99e6e46ebcec9
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$9.68
Total PnL
$-162.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
239 shares @ 7.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.68
$-9.20
- YES
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
2429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?
699 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
366 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
203 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
93 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
81 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
58 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$20.76May 11, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19.75May 11, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?$15.46Apr 26, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?$10.00Apr 22, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during WHCA Dinner events?$10.00Apr 22, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during WHCA Dinner events?$10.00Apr 22, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?$18.00Apr 21, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?$69.21Apr 21, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?$50.00Apr 20, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$10.00Apr 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$3.00Apr 17, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.00Apr 17, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$2.00Apr 15, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026?$5.00Apr 15, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$10.00Apr 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$10.00Apr 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$10.00Apr 15, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $11.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 10:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.