0x19d15c75d932120c8b54a41898fa38769ce5668d
0x19d15c75d932120c8b54a41898fa38769ce5668d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$151.62
Total PnL
$-46.08
Realised
$-3.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
70 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$44.15
$-0.35
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
57 shares @ 44.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$21.87
$-3.13
- YES
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?
392 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$11.96
$-3.04
- YES
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
22 shares @ 59.5¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.26
$-2.74
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
156 shares @ 6.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
260 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
54 shares @ 13.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.74
$-0.76
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
120 shares @ 6.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.62
$-0.88
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
143 shares @ 5.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.51
$-2.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$20.22Jun 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$24.82Jun 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$3.11Jun 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$5.18Jun 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$7.78Jun 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$15.42Jun 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.09Jun 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.76Jun 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.38Jun 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$50.54Jun 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$3.05Jun 15, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?$5.18Jun 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$10.16Jun 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?$10.39Jun 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$25.56Jun 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?$10.37Jun 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$6.00Feb 15, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?$6.50Feb 5, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$4.50Feb 5, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $12.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 21:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.