Careful-Peony
0x1a46bb350201079396d74168f6a87503d23d0292
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$42.61
Total PnL
$-32.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
8 shares @ 71.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.00
$0.01
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
7 shares @ 79.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.99
$0.06
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
15 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.47
$-0.07
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
10 shares @ 51.6¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.15
$-1.01
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
10 shares @ 60.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.04
$-1.85
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.17
$-0.03
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.73
$-0.07
- NO
Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.03
$0.01
- YES
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.10
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.03May 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.25May 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.01May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.01May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$2.05May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$7.12May 18, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?$3.28May 18, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?$5.17May 18, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$1.25May 18, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$2.89May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?$1.73May 18, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$2.82May 18, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$3.71May 18, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.03May 17, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?$0.87May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$0.39May 17, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?$0.87May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$0.43May 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$0.87May 17, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".