Unwelcome-Licensing
0x1a58ea970d8907142573e23b04339980e736f18a
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$352.36
Total PnL
$-829.57
Realised
$-166.39
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
6011 shares @ 11.9¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$297.54
$-417.45
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
410 shares @ 8.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.05
$8.05
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
277 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.90
$-2.10
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?
1091 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
735 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
582 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
488 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
186 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$6.00Jun 4, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 4, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.06Jun 4, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.00Jun 4, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.01Jun 4, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 26, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.06May 26, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$5.03May 26, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 25, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 25, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$22.00May 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$0.51May 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$0.41May 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$0.39May 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$0.08May 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$1.05May 25, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.06May 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$35.00May 16, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$15.00May 9, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00May 9, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $18.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 18:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".