Humming-Limb
0x1aabcfd595cc2bc9a73f099d1fabb7bb44066c6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$429.56
Total PnL
$-979.74
Realised
$1.47
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31?
108 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$102.21
$2.21
- NO
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
91 shares @ 76.7¢·now 86.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$78.46
$8.46
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
121 shares @ 37.5¢·now 55.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.57
$22.06
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
70 shares @ 60.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$66.60
$23.87
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
484 shares @ 39.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$45.98
$-144.02
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
155 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$36.47
$-20.95
- YES
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
67 shares @ 48.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.10
$-16.10
- YES
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
18 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$6.07
$-0.63
- YES
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
64 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.14
$-2.86
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
18 shares @ 28.4¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.11
$-2.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31?$100.00Aug 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$15.48Aug 16, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$115.48Aug 16, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$57.42Aug 14, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$26.33Aug 14, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$31.09Aug 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$198.50Aug 1, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 31?$198.49Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$6.17Jul 31, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$6.17Jul 31, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$139.77Jul 30, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$9.28Jul 30, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$9.49Jul 30, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.34Jul 30, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$110.66Jul 30, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$21.72Jul 27, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?$21.72Jul 27, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$27.25Jul 27, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$1.27Jul 27, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?$25.98Jul 27, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $44.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 07:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.