Awful-Tangerine
0x1bb734a860b0ad4f7e0ad58d5a884030a665543b
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$86.60
Total PnL
$-28.16
Realised
$28.19
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
305 shares @ 13.1¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.49
$-9.53
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
30 shares @ 43.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.95
$1.05
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
25 shares @ 21.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.13
$4.88
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.00
$1.04
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.85
$-2.15
- YES
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 31.5¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.80
$-0.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.50
$-2.50
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.15
$1.65
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
7 shares @ 51.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.80
$-0.60
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?$8.25May 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$8.50May 15, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$2.92May 14, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$2.50May 14, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$5.80May 14, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$3.00May 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$8.50May 14, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$10.00May 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?$24.10May 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?$41.34May 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$12.90May 13, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.87May 13, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$2.23May 12, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$4.95May 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$0.10May 12, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$3.20May 12, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$8.00May 12, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$6.10May 12, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$0.48May 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?$3.69May 12, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".