Glistening-Maintenance
0x1c865202529e466ed310ab3730c43689d3bfc427
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-158.61
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
1300 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
1200 shares @ 81.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-978.55
- NO
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
1100 shares @ 93.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
700 shares @ 81.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-570.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
600 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-416.99
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
500 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-321.03
- NO
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?
500 shares @ 70.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-352.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
500 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-342.84
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in June?
400 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-261.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?
400 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-299.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?$293.67Jul 10, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$200.00Jul 10, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$200.00Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Ursula von der Leyen by June 30?$11.23Jul 2, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?$600.00Jul 1, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$699.99Jul 1, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$900.00Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$399.99Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$499.99Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$200.00Jul 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$800.00Jun 30, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?$400.00Jun 30, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?$598.99Jun 30, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?$200.00Jun 30, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in June?$200.00Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$599.99Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$400.00Jun 19, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Ursula von der Leyen by June 30?$5.62Jun 18, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$156.94Jun 17, 07:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $56.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.