Reflecting-Climate
0x1cac5c537efec302c6505dd92f907d0193426f43
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-451.93
Realised
$372.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
1000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$982.00
$52.00
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1000 shares @ 94.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$960.00
$16.00
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
600 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$589.80
$21.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$495.00
$27.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$483.00
$51.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
878 shares @ 22.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$320.32
$127.25
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
310 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$277.60
$-7.60
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 22.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$228.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
200 shares @ 86.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$183.60
$10.40
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 42.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$96.00
$12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$173.20Jun 12, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$262.94Jun 12, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$22.26Jun 12, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$39.50Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$39.50Jun 12, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$193.07Jun 12, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$100.00Jun 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$418.44Jun 12, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.0KJun 12, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?$2.23Jun 1, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$568.80Jun 1, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$200.00May 29, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?$16.14May 29, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$735.36May 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$194.64May 28, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$995.00May 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$99.00May 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$39.95May 28, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.43May 28, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.50May 28, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $200.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.