Insecure-Photo
0x1e26576d9d13d33dce3739150571d3b5f74e2020
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$266.21
Total PnL
$-829.08
Realised
$55.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
200 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
200 shares @ 33.5¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.00
$-8.00
- NO
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
87 shares @ 40.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$57.47
$22.64
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
54 shares @ 36.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$50.41
$30.97
- YES
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.45
$-16.55
- YES
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
300 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.40
$-63.60
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
2 shares @ 36.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.68
$1.05
- YES
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
1361 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-241.76
- YES
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
600 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
581 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-133.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$216.37Jul 22, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$124.81Jul 22, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$89.94Jul 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$161.67Jul 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$107.80Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$223.08Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?$46.96Jul 5, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$53.53Jul 4, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$133.15Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?$4.51Jun 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?$1.50Jun 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$12.57Jun 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$71.08Jun 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$33.20Jun 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$11.38Jun 25, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$0.95Jun 25, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.31Jun 25, 01:22 UTC
- REWARD$4.14Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$0.46Jun 24, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$3.64Jun 24, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $115.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.