Nimble-Crawdad
0x1e4f107815b36cb86bacf7bbfcb2659034781f21
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$35.85
Total PnL
$-58.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
211 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.16
$-3.90
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
64 shares @ 31.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.91
$-10.09
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
21 shares @ 32.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.10
$-0.75
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
206 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.68
$-32.32
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
296 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $6.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".