Superficial-Diffuse
0x1e5bef8831a504211d01754eee577fdf2d77d608
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
82
Open notional
$540.39
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-3.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
702 shares @ 60.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$368.40
$-58.10
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$71.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$69.49
$-2.51
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
200 shares @ 30.2¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.00
$-29.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1260 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-699.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
689 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-385.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
345 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-186.08
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?
190 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-58.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
160 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-83.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
105 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?$61.40May 5, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?$69.18May 5, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?$51.07Apr 29, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?$60.96Apr 29, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?$65.12Apr 28, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?$56.00Apr 28, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?$84.00Apr 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?$74.00Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 17?$143.68Apr 17, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 17?$48.00Apr 17, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$400.00Apr 16, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?$32.31Apr 16, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?$62.00Apr 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$100.00Apr 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?$62.00Apr 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2?$84.95Apr 2, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2?$82.00Apr 2, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5$100.00Apr 1, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?$54.21Mar 31, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?$98.00Mar 31, 05:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $56.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.