Scornful-Conductor
0x1e82e3eb816aaf755ac9b44bc9d98f01b08aaf92
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$81.67
Total PnL
$-44.6K
Realised
$-3.4K
Win rate
23%
111 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12987 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.49
$7.56
- YES
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12729 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.36
$7.20
- YES
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12729 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.36
$7.20
- YES
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12417 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.21
$6.93
- YES
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11896 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.95
$6.48
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11896 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.95
$6.48
- YES
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11896 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.95
$6.48
- YES
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11746 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.87
$6.72
- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11166 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.58
$7.21
- YES
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10496 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.25
$8.78
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$3.37Jun 4, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.11May 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.12May 23, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrej Kramarić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.69May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.05May 18, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.05May 18, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.05May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.10May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.35May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.35May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephon Castle win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?$0.36May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.05May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ajay Mitchell win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?$0.36May 18, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim David be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$2.36May 18, 13:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.48May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.84May 18, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?$0.17May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?$0.03May 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 12 countries in 2026?$0.05May 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Achraf Hakimi record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$0.01May 17, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 111 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.