Tempting-Parable
0x1f394877c509b4ad0db9a6aaa2775cc637a1921f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$256.32
Total PnL
$-304.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
712 shares @ 40.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$245.49
$-39.22
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.99May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 15?$284.71May 14, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$187.60May 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$2.44May 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$72.86May 14, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?$1.35May 12, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$1.25May 11, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?$1.18May 8, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$1.22May 8, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 8?$1.72May 8, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 8?$1.03May 8, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$1.25May 7, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 7?$1.11May 7, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$1.02May 7, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$1.01May 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 7?$1.01May 7, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$1.43May 6, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 6?$1.15May 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?$1.01May 6, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$1.01May 6, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $19.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".