Wan-Gymnastics
0x1f9e15f39bbd5d163b0eacf0fbef647ced9e4f1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$108.2K
Total PnL
$35.3K
Realised
$23.1K
Win rate
88%
139 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?
5844 shares @ 91.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.6K
$250.42
- YES
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
3163 shares @ 61.9¢·now 93.6¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$3.0K
$1.0K
- YES
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
2756 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$2.7K
$167.29
- NO
Will TD Ierlan win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?
2922 shares @ 63.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$2.3K
$426.28
- YES
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?
3299 shares @ 48.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$2.3K
$673.76
- YES
Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?
2181 shares @ 91.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.1K
$151.66
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2222 shares @ 92.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$24.77
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
2980 shares @ 40.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$861.88
- YES
Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?
2025 shares @ 88.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$2.0K
$208.37
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
2000 shares @ 92.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.9K
$87.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?$117.21Jul 30, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?$6.55Jul 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 5–10%?$4.37Jul 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 10–15%?$7.28Jul 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?$0.10Jul 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?$4.37Jul 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 10–15%?$0.09Jul 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?$0.07Jul 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 5–10%?$0.07Jul 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?$0.84Jul 30, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?$1.26Jul 30, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 5–10%?$0.84Jul 30, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?$106.24Jul 30, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30?$379.55Jul 30, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?$0.01Jul 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?$332.06Jul 30, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$0.73Jul 30, 12:09 UTC
- MERGEWill Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$543.94Jul 30, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$78.19Jul 30, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?$286.39Jul 30, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
75/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 139 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
139 closed markets, 88% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $101.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 09:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 139 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.