Hard-Leverage
0x1fc7ef436b9ab792d20f1800068602f7c0c78289
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.59
Total PnL
$-3.21
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.24
$-0.76
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
1 shares @ 77.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- NO
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1.00May 14, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.31May 14, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$3.03May 13, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$3.08May 13, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.00May 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.03May 13, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.00May 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$2.03May 13, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.05May 13, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.04May 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.01May 13, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00May 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.04May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.00May 13, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00May 13, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.10May 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.07May 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.06May 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.01May 13, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.77May 13, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 19:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".