0x2003fdbf614dadabb2b81c599214d5825b650cd8
0x2003fdbf614dadabb2b81c599214d5825b650cd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$74.60
Total PnL
$2.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 46.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.92
$4.56
- YES
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
35 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.86
$2.91
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
12 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
11 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.71
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.68
$-0.26
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.35
$2.65
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
9 shares @ 64.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.10
$-0.89
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.45
$1.25
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
10 shares @ 23.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.61
$0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?$2.30Jun 14, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$9.27Jun 13, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$1.93Jun 12, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$7.36Jun 11, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?$7.00Jun 10, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00Jun 4, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?$11.29Jun 1, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.70May 31, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$10.66May 31, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$1.31May 31, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?$2.30May 30, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$9.21May 30, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: March$13.79May 30, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.00May 27, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.00May 27, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$0.00May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$0.00May 19, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$0.00May 19, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?$0.00May 19, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$0.00May 19, 07:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.