0x203d5867208e728697da797da9570616d41ee00f
0x203d5867208e728697da797da9570616d41ee00f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$190.82
Total PnL
$-161.83
Realised
$-30.77
Win rate
18%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by between 160 and 189 seats?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$13.17
$3.16
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$13.16
$3.16
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
13 shares @ 80.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$12.70
$2.53
- NO
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$11.78
$1.77
- YES
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$11.77
$1.77
- NO
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$11.36
$1.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 8?
11 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$11.21
$1.21
- YES
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$11.13
$1.12
- NO
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$11.00
$0.99
- YES
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$9.42
$0.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$5.91Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$5.20Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$9.71Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$9.33Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$11.05Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.93Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$4.54Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$5.29Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.38Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$10.01Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$5.07Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)$8.98Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$7.04Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$10.46Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$8.26Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?$4.97Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $9.77Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?$9.61Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$9.76Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$9.88Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 04:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".