Extraneous-Margarine
0x204fac11fc46b1c4777b09670f4590167894fa01
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-42.26
Realised
$35.85
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?
347 shares @ 98.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$328.74
$-11.64
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?
314 shares @ 95.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$290.26
$-9.46
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
355 shares @ 69.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$275.03
$28.80
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
275 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$264.38
$0.69
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
195 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.40
$1.87
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
122 shares @ 63.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$90.54
$13.98
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
85 shares @ 79.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$76.91
$9.17
- NO
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
25 shares @ 85.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.70
$1.61
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1654 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.65
$-113.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$18.6015d ago
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$65.7415d ago
- REDEEMWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$1.7K15d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$27.5526d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.5126d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$24.7526d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$49.5027d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$9.7828d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$9.7728d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$10.2928d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$9.9028d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?$47.5029d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$43.7330d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$21.7830d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.9730d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?$25.6530d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?$7.0230d ago
- REDEEMWill Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by March 2?$0.0050d ago
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.0052d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?$0.0152d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $47.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 65d ago
- Last active
- 15d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.