Hospitable-Maestro
0x206191d01c411a5b346d11a2df2d463a356b8ec9
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
162
Open notional
$109.2K
Total PnL
$-81.1K
Realised
$11.1K
Win rate
45%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
285087 shares @ 10.4¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.5K
$-2.0K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
68597 shares @ 8.9¢·now 21.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.0K
$8.9K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15999 shares @ 70.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.4K
$2.1K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12748 shares @ 26.3¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.3K
$4.0K
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
330880 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.5K
$2.2K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10496 shares @ 61.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.1K
$-354.96
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
12216 shares @ 43.1¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.3K
$52.98
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4444 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.4K
$11.11
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42900 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.6K
$-64.35
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
34251 shares @ 7.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.0K
$365.39
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$761.16Jun 13, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$28.76Jun 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$128.29Jun 13, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.72Jun 13, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.64Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.30Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.33Jun 13, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 13, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 13, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 13, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 13, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 13, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 13, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 13, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03Jun 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.20Jun 13, 08:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 20, 19:40 UTC → May 20, 19:35 UTC
- BUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.6K@61¢May 20, 19:35 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.6K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
$5.6K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.