Easy-Going-Crocodile
0x20a445a5fe6d454b170837795f10d3f0058151d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$159.70
Total PnL
$-107.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
72 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.08
$1.08
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
58 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.62
$2.62
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.12
$-0.88
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
141 shares @ 70.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.17
$-82.64
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.91
$-4.09
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27 shares @ 18.8¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.00
$-1.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during healthcare event?
278 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.47
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 15, 2026?$1.04Jun 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$60.00Jun 13, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$11.04Jun 1, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$65.26Jun 1, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$62.15May 27, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.28May 19, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.15May 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00May 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.00May 11, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 10, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.05May 10, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.16May 10, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.27May 10, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$20.00Apr 23, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during healthcare event?$10.00Apr 23, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during healthcare event?$4.00Apr 23, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$100.00Apr 23, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$281.30Apr 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$225.00Apr 12, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $47.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.