Frosty-Wildlife
0x20cbb12617b0fa73b8630a8f42c1a8b971606748
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$23.12
Total PnL
$-9.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.75
$0.00
- NO
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.86
$0.01
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.83
$0.01
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.79
$0.77
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.73
$0.01
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.61
$0.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.60
$0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.52
$0.00
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.43
$0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.32
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?$1.13Jul 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?$1.12Jul 11, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 6?$1.17Jul 5, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.43Jun 29, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kalshi: :Trade the World Cup be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 3?$1.75Jun 29, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.61Jun 14, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.82Jun 14, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$2.75Jun 1, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.02May 9, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.17Apr 30, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?$1.85Apr 29, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.52Apr 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.72Apr 14, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?$1.33Mar 30, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.32Mar 29, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.60Dec 30, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.89Dec 9, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.25Dec 9, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.14Dec 9, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.22Dec 9, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 02:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.